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This project requires analyzing economic data and treasury yields to understand their interrelationship. Data on key economic indicators such as employment reports, GDP growth etc along with their market estimates need to be extracted from the Federal Reserve website.Actual reported values of these indicators then need to be compared against the estimates to analyze deviations. Concurrently, historical treasury yield curves capturing market interest rates for various maturity buckets need to be procured. The impact of economic surprises, whether estimates were beaten or missed, on the shape and level of the yield curves need to be studied. Graphical representations need to be prepared clearly depicting the direction and magnitude of treasury curve shifts in response to economic announcement surprises. The analysis will help investors and market participants better understand economic data surprises and formulate relative value trading strategies. It may also provide insights into the monetary policy transmission mechanism and market expectations regarding the same. Proficiency with Python is required to automate data pulling, perform calculations and create publication quality visuals for the final deliverable. |
